Pre-tourney Rankings
West Coast
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
4 Gonzaga 100.0%   1   30 - 2 16 - 0 30 - 2 16 - 0 +19.3      +11.9 3 +7.4 21 66.3 198 +21.3 1 +23.8 1
23 St. Mary's 86.6%   10   26 - 6 14 - 2 26 - 6 14 - 2 +12.8      +10.0 9 +2.8 95 64.7 233 +13.0 25 +17.4 2
62 BYU 1.0%   20 - 11 10 - 6 20 - 11 10 - 6 +8.0      +4.0 69 +4.0 72 80.1 7 +6.7 77 +7.0 3
81 Santa Clara 0.0%   19 - 11 9 - 7 19 - 11 9 - 7 +5.8      +4.9 59 +0.9 143 70.1 109 +5.1 94 +5.3 4
136 San Francisco 0.0%   13 - 16 7 - 9 13 - 16 7 - 9 +2.1      +3.2 91 -1.2 204 68.7 141 +0.6 161 +1.9 6
162 San Diego 0.0%   14 - 18 7 - 9 14 - 18 7 - 9 +0.2      +0.6 158 -0.4 182 63.0 270 +0.2 167 +2.2 5
207 Loyola Marymount 0.0%   10 - 22 1 - 15 10 - 22 1 - 15 -2.3      -2.8 248 +0.5 154 65.5 215 -3.5 220 -13.5 9
218 Pepperdine 0.0%   11 - 18 4 - 12 11 - 18 4 - 12 -3.2      -2.7 244 -0.5 183 62.6 273 -2.5 205 -3.3 8
253 Portland 0.0%   9 - 21 4 - 12 9 - 21 4 - 12 -5.3      -4.8 291 -0.6 186 66.6 191 -4.2 229 -2.9 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Gonzaga 1.0 100.0
St. Mary's 2.0 100.0
BYU 3.0 100.0
Santa Clara 4.0 100.0
San Francisco 5.0 100.0
San Diego 5.0 100.0
Loyola Marymount 9.0 100.0
Pepperdine 7.0 100.0
Portland 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Gonzaga 16 - 0 100.0
St. Mary's 14 - 2 100.0
BYU 10 - 6 100.0
Santa Clara 9 - 7 100.0
San Francisco 7 - 9 100.0
San Diego 7 - 9 100.0
Loyola Marymount 1 - 15 100.0
Pepperdine 4 - 12 100.0
Portland 4 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Gonzaga 100.0% 100.0
St. Mary's
BYU
Santa Clara
San Francisco
San Diego
Loyola Marymount
Pepperdine
Portland


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Gonzaga 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   57.5 34.1 8.0 0.3
St. Mary's 86.6% 0.0% 86.6% 10   0.0 0.1 1.3 2.8 10.0 15.0 16.4 14.5 16.4 9.8 0.1 13.4 86.6%
BYU 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.7 0.3 0.0 99.0 1.0%
Santa Clara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
San Francisco 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Gonzaga 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.8% 73.3% 51.1% 32.5% 19.2% 10.8%
St. Mary's 86.6% 9.9% 83.1% 43.9% 16.6% 7.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4%
BYU 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Santa Clara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Francisco 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.9 13.3 85.9 0.9
1st Round 100.0% 1.8 16.8 82.8 0.4
2nd Round 98.2% 1.4 1.8 55.5 42.7 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 78.4% 0.9 21.7 66.8 11.6 0.0
Elite Eight 55.0% 0.6 45.0 51.8 3.2
Final Four 34.5% 0.4 65.5 33.9 0.6
Final Game 20.0% 0.2 80.0 19.9 0.1
Champion 11.1% 0.1 88.9 11.1